MARKETS UNDER PRESSURE AS TRUMP SAYS “CLOCK IS TICKING” FOR IRAN
Bitcoin dropped below $78K overnight as geopolitical tensions and rising Treasury yields pushed markets into a broader risk-off move.
The sell-off followed reports that infrastructure near the UAE’s Barakah nuclear facility was struck during an aerial attack. Shortly after, Trump warned that “the clock is ticking” for Iran, raising fears that tensions in the Middle East could escalate further and threaten global oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz.
GEOPOLITICAL RISKS INTENSIFY
Trump is expected to hold a Situation Room meeting tomorrow focused on Iran and potential military contingency options. The incident near the Barakah facility has intensified concerns over the vulnerability of critical infrastructure across the Gulf region and increased fears that any further escalation could destabilize energy markets and regional trade routes.
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2056067977142002063?s=20
Oil prices moved higher as markets began pricing in growing risks of disruption through the Strait of Hormuz.
BOND MARKET STRESS CONTINUES TO BUILD
U.S. Treasury yields continued climbing overnight, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.63%, its highest level since February 2025.
Meanwhile, rate cut expectations have almost completely disappeared as markets continue repricing inflation and geopolitical risks. Higher yields and tighter financial conditions remain major challenges for equities and crypto.
TRUMP–CHINA DEALS OFFER TEMPORARY RELIEF
Markets also received support from several trade and industrial agreements announced following Trump’s summit with President Xi Jinping in Beijing. The White House highlighted developments including Boeing aircraft purchases, agricultural commitments, and cooperation around critical minerals and supply chains. While markets interpreted the announcements as supportive for global trade, investors remain cautious as tensions with Iran continue escalating in parallel.
BITCOIN UNDER PRESSURE AS MACRO RISKS RISE
It fell below the $78K region as rising yields, geopolitical uncertainty, and broader macro pressure continued weighing on crypto markets.
BTC is now trading directly below its 200-day SMA, a level that has historically acted as a major long-term trend indicator. Previous interactions with this zone have often marked important market reversals or breakdowns.
Markets are closely watching whether Bitcoin can reclaim the 200-day SMA and move back toward the $84K resistance region or continue weakening toward the major $74K support area near the 100-day SMA.
LONG LIQUIDATIONS ACCELERATED THE MOVE
More than $704M in crypto positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with long positions accounting for roughly $618M of the total. The imbalance suggests traders were heavily positioned for upside continuation before macro-driven selling forced rapid deleveraging.
ETF OUTFLOWS VS STRONG ON-CHAIN ACCUMULATION
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $1 billion in net outflows this past week, marking the largest weekly outflow since Bitcoin’s previous $60K market bottom.
At the same time, on-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holder supply climbing to approximately 15.26 million BTC, the highest level since August 2025 suggesting stronger hands may be absorbing market weakness despite short-term volatility
CRYPTO ADOPTION CONTINUES TO EVOLVE DURING WAR
Amid rising tensions, Iran launched “Hormuz Safe,” a state-backed maritime insurance platform supporting settlement in Bitcoin. The initiative is designed to reduce reliance on SWIFT and Western financial intermediaries while facilitating shipping activity through the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.
The platform reportedly uses blockchain-based verification for maritime insurance contracts and instant settlement processing, with Iranian officials estimating the initiative could eventually generate more than $10B in annual revenue if it captures a meaningful share of Gulf shipping traffic.
SPACEX IPO HYPE FUELS ON-CHAIN SPECULATION
Despite rising macro uncertainty, speculative appetite remains active. Prediction markets are assigning extremely high odds to a $1T+ SpaceX IPO valuation, while platforms like Hyperliquid continue seeing heavy volume in synthetic pre-IPO SpaceX perpetual contracts. The trend highlights growing demand for 24/7 on-chain exposure to major traditional financial events.
KEY EVENTS TO WATCH THIS WEEK
Markets are increasingly pricing the risk of higher oil prices, renewed inflation pressure and elevated volatility across global markets. With Nvidia earnings, FOMC Minutes and multiple macro catalysts ahead, this is shaping up to be one of the most headline-driven weeks of the year.
FOMC Minutes – Wednesday
Nvidia Earnings – Wednesday
Walmart Earnings – Thursday
Initial Jobless Claims – Thursday
Services and Manufacturing PMI – Thursday
University of Michigan Sentiment – Friday
TRADE WITHOUT RISKING YOUR PORTFOLIO
Markets are becoming increasingly headline-driven. Situations like these can create sharp two-sided moves and false breakdowns around major levels. In volatile environments like this, Bitfunded allows traders to gain exposure to major market moves using funded accounts while helping protect personal capital and manage risk more efficiently.
You don’t need to risk your own capital to take advantage of market volatility.
– Trade with funded accounts
– Scale your opportunities
– Protect your portfolio
START TRADING WITH BITFUNDED
THE BITFUNDED TEAM | BITFUNDED.COM